Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #6
New Haven Semi-State Rank #2
West Noble Regional Rank #2
Northrop Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 6th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.5%
Top 5 at State Finals 32.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 80.7%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Classic Bruin Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 232 283 263 270 267 264 303 265 270 310 200
Team Adjusted Rating 283 263 270 267 264 303 265 270 310 200
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Classic Bruin Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
7  Noah Steffen 12 15:49 16:10 15:40 15:49 16:04 16:04 16:04 15:52 15:55 16:03 15:42
63  Reece Gibson 9 16:25 16:39 16:44 16:44 16:27 16:16 16:30 16:13 16:28 16:22 16:18
75  Alex Amaro 12 16:27 16:35 16:36 16:38 16:38 16:42 16:52 16:35 16:34 16:40 16:20
124  Matthew Ruppert 11 16:41 16:37 16:40 16:44 16:47 16:51 16:57 17:00 16:50 16:56 16:34
173  Nathaniel Witmer 12 16:52 17:09 17:00 16:59 16:59 16:57 17:07 17:06 17:04 17:33 16:45
280  Drake Kropf 9 17:12 17:07 17:00 17:08 17:04 17:15 17:14 17:15 17:26 17:11
458  Daniel Hein 11 17:33 18:05 17:50 17:31 17:35 17:45 17:35 17:42 17:26
500  Kalen Schlegel 9 17:37 17:33 17:24 17:38 17:50 17:36
754  Ethan Dillman 12 17:59 17:23 17:44 17:56 18:02 18:30
766  Evan Kropf 11 18:00 18:17 18:03 17:54 17:59 17:58
933  Caleb Kidd 11 18:13 18:13
988  Justin Elhers 11 18:18 18:39 18:12 18:21 18:10
1,435  Joey Rucinski 11 18:50 19:13 19:00 18:37 18:52 18:41
Seth Murphy 11 19:07 19:15 19:02 19:19 19:19 18:43
Kasey Miller 12 19:07 19:13 19:03 19:53 19:06 18:42




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100.0% 7.5 255 0.5 3.1 6.8 9.8 11.9 12.1 11.7 9.3 8.0 7.5 5.6 4.6 2.9 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 2.4 82 3.2 66.1 20.7 7.6 2.3 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.4 74 3.1 58.9 30.4 7.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.1 55 2.9 85.9 11.2 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Noah Steffen 100% 8.8 0.1 2.8 7.3 7.6 7.4 6.9 7.3 6.3 5.7 5.1 4.8 4.2 3.8 3.3 2.8 2.6 2.2 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.0 1.1 100.0% 100.0%
Reece Gibson 100.0% 66.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0% 91.1%
Alex Amaro 100.0% 72.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0% 86.8%
Matthew Ruppert 100.0% 104.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 51.2%
Nathaniel Witmer 100.0% 128.1 0.0% 18.1%
Drake Kropf 100.0% 159.0 0.0% 0.7%
Daniel Hein 100.0% 183.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Noah Steffen 100% 2.2 27.1 20.7 14.1 10.9 7.5 5.8 3.9 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Reece Gibson 100% 17.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.2 2.9 3.4 4.4 4.5 5.4 5.9 6.1 6.4 6.0 6.7 5.8 5.7 4.7 4.5 3.6 3.2 100.0%
Alex Amaro 100% 19.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.9 5.0 5.5 5.9 5.8 6.4 6.4 6.1 5.7 4.4 4.6 4.3 100.0%
Matthew Ruppert 100% 28.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.4 3.1 3.4 3.9 4.3 4.6 5.2 99.4%
Nathaniel Witmer 100% 37.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.6 94.4%
Drake Kropf 100% 61.1 0.0 0.0 50.2%
Daniel Hein 100% 95.1 4.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Noah Steffen 100% 1.3 44.5 19.7 12.9 8.2 5.2 3.5 2.0 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Reece Gibson 100% 12.5 0.3 0.6 1.6 2.4 2.8 3.8 4.8 5.7 6.9 8.3 8.8 8.6 9.3 7.6 6.6 5.4 4.7 3.5 2.8 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Alex Amaro 100% 13.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.0 3.3 4.6 5.5 7.1 8.3 8.4 8.8 8.2 7.4 7.1 5.7 4.8 3.6 2.8 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.7 100.0%
Matthew Ruppert 100% 19.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.7 2.6 3.0 4.4 5.9 6.6 7.6 8.0 8.1 8.1 7.6 7.1 6.3 5.4 100.0%
Nathaniel Witmer 100% 25.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.5 5.2 6.3 6.8 7.8 8.4 100.0%
Drake Kropf 100% 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 99.9%
Daniel Hein 100% 45.9 0.0 0.0 93.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Noah Steffen 1.0 59.6 18.4 9.6 5.1 3.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Reece Gibson 9.3 1.2 2.5 3.4 4.7 5.7 7.1 9.6 12.1 13.9 11.8 8.2 6.7 5.8 3.6 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
Alex Amaro 10.2 0.7 1.3 2.4 3.3 4.4 5.6 7.8 10.2 12.4 12.5 10.8 8.5 7.1 6.1 3.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
Matthew Ruppert 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.7 3.2 5.0 8.4 9.9 10.7 12.3 13.9 13.7 9.5 5.3 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1
Nathaniel Witmer 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.9 5.4 8.2 12.9 16.9 19.1 14.2 7.9 3.3 1.7 0.5 0.3
Drake Kropf 21.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.8 4.3 10.3 17.1 16.8 14.2 11.5 7.5
Daniel Hein 28.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.3 6.0 7.1